Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atletico Nacional
2 - 0
Catolica

Andrade (39'), Duque (45')
Rovira (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Zampedri (50'), Huerta (83'), Perlaza (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Nacional and Universidad Catolica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 23.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.

Result
Atletico NacionalDrawUniversidad Catolica
49.99%26.79%23.21%
Both teams to score 44.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.21%58.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.69%79.3%
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35%23.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.25%57.75%
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89%41.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.35%77.65%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Nacional 49.98%
    Universidad Catolica 23.21%
    Draw 26.79%
Atletico NacionalDrawUniversidad Catolica
1-0 @ 14.01%
2-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 8.98%
3-0 @ 4.86%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-1 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 49.98%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 9.72%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 8.64%
1-2 @ 5.54%
0-2 @ 3.84%
1-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.18%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 23.21%

How you voted: Atletico Nacional vs Catolica

Atletico Nacional
100%
Draw
0.0%
Universidad Catolica
0.0%
8