Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16
Nov 26, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera

River Plate
1 - 2
Catolica

Piriz (45+3')
Salaberry (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zampedri (9'), Aued (72' pen.)
Puch (45+6'), Lezcano (67')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 16 clash between River Plate and Universidad Catolica.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 24.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.51%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a River Plate win it was 1-0 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawUniversidad Catolica
24.29%25.81%49.9%
Both teams to score 48.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57%54.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2%75.8%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.35%37.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58%74.42%
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15%21.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.92%55.08%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 24.29%
    Universidad Catolica 49.9%
    Draw 25.81%
River PlateDrawUniversidad Catolica
1-0 @ 8.04%
2-1 @ 5.97%
2-0 @ 3.93%
3-1 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.48%
3-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 24.29%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 8.22%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 12.51%
0-2 @ 9.51%
1-2 @ 9.3%
0-3 @ 4.82%
1-3 @ 4.71%
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-4 @ 1.84%
1-4 @ 1.79%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 49.9%

rhs 2.0


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