Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Nacional | Draw | Nacional |
| 53.73% | 23.56% | 22.72% |
| Both teams to score 53.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% | 46.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% | 69.09% |
| Atletico Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% | 17.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.25% | 47.75% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.13% | 34.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.39% | 71.61% |
| Score Analysis |
Atletico Nacional 53.73%
Nacional 22.72%
Draw 23.55%
| Atletico Nacional | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 9.28% 3-1 @ 5.71% 3-0 @ 5.42% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.5% 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.75% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 6.05% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 6.38% 1-2 @ 5.88% 0-2 @ 3.36% 1-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.05% Total : 22.72% |


