Catolica
3 - 1
Nacional

Zampedri (30' pen.), Valencia (59'), Montes (90+3', 90+3')
Rebolledo (14'), Leiva (35'), Saavedra (47'), Aued (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Fernandez (45+1')
Carballo (41')
Almeida (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Universidad Catolica and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.04%) and 3-2 (4.62%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.

Result
Universidad Catolica	Draw	Nacional
40.76%	21.45%	37.79%

Both teams to score 71.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.22%

27.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.54%

48.46%

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.2%

14.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.92%

43.08%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.05%

15.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.77%

45.23%

Score Analysis

Universidad Catolica 40.76%

Nacional 37.79%

Draw 21.45%

Universidad Catolica	Draw	Nacional
2-1 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 5.04% 3-2 @ 4.62% 1-0 @ 4.51% 2-0 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 2.21% 4-3 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.44% Total : 40.76%	1-1 @ 8.28% 2-2 @ 7.26% 3-3 @ 2.83% 0-0 @ 2.36% Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.45%	1-2 @ 7.6% 1-3 @ 4.65% 2-3 @ 4.44% 0-1 @ 4.34% 0-2 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 2.13% 2-4 @ 2.04% 3-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.77% Total : 37.79%