Copa Libertadores
-
Brian Ocampo
29'
-
Angelo Gabrielli
40'
-
Alfonso Trezza
52'
-
Ignacio Lores
90'+3'
-
Marcelino Nunez
34'
-
Clemente Montes
65'
-
Fernando Zampedri
73'
Nacional vs Universidad Catolica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.
Result
Nacional
39.43%
Draw
26.04%
Universidad Catolica
34.52%
Both Teams to Score:
53.89%
Goals
Over 2.5
49.48%
Under 2.5
50.52%
Over 3.5
27.56%
Under 3.5
72.44%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
74.82%
Under 0.5
25.17%
Over 1.5
40.1%
Under 1.5
59.89%
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5
72.02%
Under 0.5
27.98%
Over 1.5
36.38%
Under 1.5
63.62%
Score analysis
Nacional
39.43%
Draw
26.04%
Universidad Catolica
34.52%
Nacional
1-0
@
9.72%
2-1 @ 8.54%
2-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 39.43%
2-1 @ 8.54%
2-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 39.43%
Draw
1-1
@
12.37%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.04%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.04%
Universidad Catolica
0-1
@
8.97%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 5.71%
1-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 34.52%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 5.71%
1-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 34.52%
Head to Head
Copa Libertadores
-
Raimundo Rebolledo
14'
-
Fernando Zampedri
30'
-
Juan Leiva
35'
-
Ignacio Saavedra
47'
-
Diego Valencia
59'
-
Luciano Aued
87'
-
Clemente Montes
90'+3'
-
Clemente Montes
90'+3'
-
Felipe Carballo
41'
-
Leandro Fernandez
45'+1'
-
Christian Almeida
83'