Nacional
1 - 0
Catolica

Ocampo (29')
Gabrielli (40'), Trezza (52'), Lores (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nunez (34'), Montes (65'), Zampedri (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Nacional and Universidad Catolica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Universidad Catolica
39.43%	26.04%	34.52%

Both teams to score 53.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.48%

50.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.56%

72.44%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.82%

25.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.1%

59.89%

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.02%

27.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.38%

63.62%

Score Analysis

Nacional 39.43%

Universidad Catolica 34.52%

Draw 26.04%

Nacional	Draw	Universidad Catolica
1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 8.54% 2-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.56% Total : 39.43%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 8.97% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 5.71% 1-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.52%