Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 18, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional1 - 0Catolica
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
| 39.43% | 26.04% | 34.52% |
| Both teams to score 53.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
