Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 21, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
1 - 0
Catolica

Rocha (36')
Rocha (33'), Melo (40'), Dudu (75'), Renan (80'), Weverton (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Parot (30'), Zampedri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Universidad Catolica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 62.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 14.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawUniversidad Catolica
62.65%22.48%14.87%
Both teams to score 43.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.54%53.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.02%74.98%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.42%16.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.63%46.36%
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.23%47.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.94%83.05%
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 62.63%
    Universidad Catolica 14.87%
    Draw 22.48%
PalmeirasDrawUniversidad Catolica
1-0 @ 14.22%
2-0 @ 12.78%
2-1 @ 9.45%
3-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 5.66%
4-0 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.09%
5-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 0.94%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 62.63%
1-1 @ 10.51%
0-0 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 3.49%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.48%
0-1 @ 5.85%
1-2 @ 3.88%
0-2 @ 2.16%
1-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 14.87%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Catolica

Palmeiras
87.5%
Draw
4.2%
Universidad Catolica
8.3%
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