Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 5, 2022 at 3am UK

Estadio Nacional de Lima

Cristal
1 - 1
Catolica

Liza (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zampedri (77')
Orellana (26'), Rebolledo (72'), Zampedri (80')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Sporting Cristal and Universidad Catolica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Cristal

Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Cristal
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Universidad Catolica

Last Game: Catolica 0-1 Talleres
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Catolica vs. Sao Paulo
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Cristal	Draw	Universidad Catolica
42.81%	23.28%	33.91%

Both teams to score 63.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.09%

37.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.83%

60.17%

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.85%

18.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.87%

49.13%

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.63%

22.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.13%

55.87%

Score Analysis

Sporting Cristal 42.81%

Universidad Catolica 33.91%

Draw 23.27%

Sporting Cristal	Draw	Universidad Catolica
2-1 @ 8.85% 1-0 @ 6.93% 2-0 @ 5.91% 3-1 @ 5.04% 3-2 @ 3.77% 3-0 @ 3.36% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.76% Total : 42.81%	1-1 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 4.06% 3-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.27%	1-2 @ 7.77% 0-1 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 3.31% 0-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.36% Total : 33.91%