Copa Sudamericana
Aug 11, 2021 11.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Nacional de Lima
  • Johan Madrid 29' yellowcard
  • Jhilmar Lora 51' yellowcard
  • Omar Merlo 90' goal
  • goal Agustin Alvarez 8'
  • goal Facundo Torres 19'
  • yellowcard Pablo Ceppelini 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Jesus Trindade 50'
  • yellowcard Ruben Bentancourt 90'+1'
  • goal Walter Gargano 90'+5'

Sporting Cristal vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Cristal

All competitions

Penarol

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Penarol win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Cristal 45.71%
Draw 23.88%
Penarol 30.41%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.76%

Goals

Over 2.5 57.8%
Under 2.5 42.19%
Over 3.5 35.4%
Under 3.5 64.6%

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5 81.32%
Under 0.5 18.68%
Over 1.5 49.98%
Under 1.5 50.02%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 73.49%
Under 0.5 26.5%
Over 1.5 38.3%
Under 1.5 61.7%

Score analysis

Sporting Cristal 45.71%
Draw 23.88%
Penarol 30.41%
Sporting Cristal
2-1 @ 9.25%
1-0 @ 8.31%
2-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 5.17%
3-0 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.17%
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 45.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.03%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.88%
Penarol
1-2 @ 7.32%
0-1 @ 6.57%
0-2 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.41%