Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Aug 1, 2021 at 10pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 0
River Plate

Alvarez (18'), Torres (32')
Rodriguez (29'), Musto (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rodriguez (47'), Borbas (58'), Montiel (61')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 54.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawRiver Plate
54.82%25.15%20.04%
Both teams to score 45.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.99%56.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.9%77.1%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.57%20.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.12%52.88%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.21%42.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.88%79.12%
Score Analysis
    Penarol 54.81%
    River Plate 20.04%
    Draw 25.14%
PenarolDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 13.88%
2-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 5.84%
3-1 @ 4.95%
4-0 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 54.81%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 8.74%
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.42%
1-2 @ 5%
0-2 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 1.42%
2-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 20.04%