Penarol vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.