Penarol

0 - 1

Nacional

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.