Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 23, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol0 - 1Nacional
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Nacional |
| 55.75% | 23.23% | 21.04% |
| Both teams to score 52.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
