Cristal
2 - 1
Arsenal

(Sporting Cristal win 3-2 on aggregate)

Hohberg (90' pen., 90+8')
Evair Loyola Morales (69'), Gonzales (79'), Percy Liza Espinoza (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mazzola (70')
Suso (90+1'), Castro (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Sporting Cristal and Arsenal Sarandi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.43%) and 3-1 (5.01%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Cristal in this match.

Result
Sporting Cristal	Draw	Arsenal Sarandi
41.1%	22.24%	36.66%

Both teams to score 68.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.98%

32.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.41%

53.59%

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.56%

16.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.89%

46.11%

Arsenal Sarandi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.69%

18.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.6%

49.4%

Score Analysis

Sporting Cristal 41.1%

Arsenal Sarandi 36.66%

Draw 22.24%

Sporting Cristal	Draw	Arsenal Sarandi
2-1 @ 8.33% 1-0 @ 5.43% 3-1 @ 5.01% 2-0 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.6% Total : 41.1%	1-1 @ 9.23% 2-2 @ 7.07% 0-0 @ 3.01% 3-3 @ 2.41% Other @ 0.52% Total : 22.24%	1-2 @ 7.83% 0-1 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 4.34% 2-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.88% 2-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.04% 3-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.66%