Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 26, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo3 - 0Cristal
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
| 57.83% | 25.07% | 17.1% |
| Both teams to score 41.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.79% | 59.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.37% | 79.63% |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% | 20.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.01% | 52.99% |
| Sporting Cristal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.82% | 48.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.64% | 83.36% |
| Score Analysis |
Sao Paulo 57.82%
Sporting Cristal 17.1%
Draw 25.07%
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
| 1-0 @ 15.65% 2-0 @ 12.4% 2-1 @ 9.06% 3-0 @ 6.55% 3-1 @ 4.78% 4-0 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.75% Other @ 3.14% Total : 57.82% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 3.31% Other @ 0.46% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.21% 1-2 @ 4.17% 0-2 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.06% Total : 17.1% |
How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Cristal
Sao Paulo
88.9%Draw
11.1%Sporting Cristal
0.0%9


