Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 26, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo3 - 0Cristal
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
| 57.83% | 25.07% | 17.1% |
| Both teams to score 41.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
