Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 6, 2022 at 2am UK

Estadio Nacional de Lima

Cristal
0 - 2
Flamengo

Merlo (31')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Henrique (22'), Matheuzinho (87')
Maia (17'), Arao (65'), Matheuzinho (83')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Sporting Cristal and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Cristal

Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Cristal
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Flamengo

Last Six:

Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Flamengo
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Next Game: Internacional vs. Flamengo
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Botafogo	9	1	12
14	Flamengo	10	0	12
15	Goias	9	-2	12

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 1-0 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Sporting Cristal	Draw	Flamengo
17.89%	25.06%	57.05%

Both teams to score 42.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.82%

58.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.17%

78.83%

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.43%

46.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.84%

82.16%

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.6%

20.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.17%

52.83%

Score Analysis

Sporting Cristal 17.89%

Flamengo 57.05%

Draw 25.06%

Sporting Cristal	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 7.26% 2-1 @ 4.41% 2-0 @ 2.77% 3-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.89%	1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 3.51% Other @ 0.51% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 15.1% 0-2 @ 12% 1-2 @ 9.17% 0-3 @ 6.36% 1-3 @ 4.86% 0-4 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.24% Total : 57.05%