Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 12, 2022 at 11.15pm UK

Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

Catolica
2 - 1
Cristal

Nunez (45+2'), Zampedri (90+2' pen.)
Zampedri (30'), Valencia (69'), Astaburuaga (77'), Paz (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Loyola (73')
Castillo (32'), Avila (41'), Gonzales (57'), Loyola (90+1')
Tavara (90+7')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Universidad Catolica and Sporting Cristal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad Catolica

Last Game: Catolica 0-1 Talleres
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Catolica vs. Sao Paulo
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Sporting Cristal

Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Cristal
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Universidad Catolica in this match.

Result
Universidad Catolica	Draw	Sporting Cristal
46.58%	23.23%	30.18%

Both teams to score 61.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.72%

39.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.39%

61.61%

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.81%

17.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.54%

47.45%

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.79%

25.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.06%

59.94%

Score Analysis

Universidad Catolica 46.58%

Sporting Cristal 30.18%

Draw 23.23%

Universidad Catolica	Draw	Sporting Cristal
2-1 @ 9.26% 1-0 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 5.43% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 3.74% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 4.08% Total : 46.58%	1-1 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 6.38% 0-0 @ 4.33% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.23%	1-2 @ 7.25% 0-1 @ 5.97% 0-2 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.18%