Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 18.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Juventude	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
18.94% ( 0.01)	24.67% ( 0.02)	56.39% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 45.21% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.46% (

-0.06)

55.54% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.29% (

-0.05)

76.72% (

0.05)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.24% (

-0.02)

43.76% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.08% (

-0.02)

79.92% (

0.02)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.38% (

-0.04)

19.62% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.42% (

-0.06)

51.58% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Juventude 18.94%

Atletico Mineiro 56.39%

Draw 24.66%

Juventude	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.78% 2-0 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.32% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 18.94%	1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 24.66%	0-1 @ 13.98% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 11.38% 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.62% Total : 56.39%