Brasileiro | Gameweek 19

Jul 24, 2022 at 11pm UK

Castelao

Fortaleza
0 - 0
Santos

Marcelo (45+2'), Capixaba (81'), Galhardo (83'), Crispim (90+1')

Leonardo (38'), Fernandez (55'), Gabriel (58'), Eduardo (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Santos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 49.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Santos had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Santos
49.61% ( 0.08)	27.83% ( -0.08)	22.56%

Both teams to score 41.72% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.37% (

0.25)

62.63% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.8% (

0.18)

82.2% (

-0.18)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46% (

0.16)

25.54% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.6% (

0.21)

60.4% (

-0.21)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.03% (

0.15)

43.97% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.9% (

0.12)

80.1% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 49.6%

Santos 22.56%

Draw 27.82%

Fortaleza	Draw	Santos
1-0 @ 15.32% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 49.6%	1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.82%	0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.56%