Brasileiro | Gameweek 18

Jul 20, 2022 at 11pm UK

Diogao

Bragantino
2 - 1
Fortaleza

Evangelista (37'), Novaes (90+7')
Schwengber (58'), Ortiz (58'), Vinicios (71'), Natan (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Britez (57')
Ronald (39'), Crispim (40'), Ceballos (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Bragantino and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 56.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
Bragantino	Draw	Fortaleza
56.87% ( -1.92)	24.53% ( 0.89)	18.6% ( 1.03)

Both teams to score 45.04% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.53% (

-1.89)

55.47% (

1.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.34% (

-1.57)

76.66% (

1.57)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.59% (

-1.43)

19.41% (

1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.76% (

-2.4)

51.23% (

2.4)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.89% (

0.13)

44.11% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.78% (

0.11)

80.21% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Bragantino 56.86%

Fortaleza 18.6%

Draw 24.52%

Bragantino	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 14.03% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.32) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.69% Total : 56.86%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.63% Total : 24.52%	0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 18.6%