Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 26.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.