Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 16 | 3 | 27 |
| 6 | Internacional | 15 | 7 | 25 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 16 | 4 | 23 |
Sunday, July 3 at 10pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Ceara | 16 | -1 | 18 |
| 16 | America Mineiro | 15 | -5 | 18 |
| 17 | Avai | 16 | -9 | 18 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 67.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 12.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Internacional | Draw | America Mineiro |
| 67.76% ( | 19.82% ( | 12.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.14% ( | 47.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.95% ( | 70.04% ( |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.87% ( | 13.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.21% ( | 39.79% ( |
| America Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.88% ( | 48.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.69% ( | 83.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Internacional | Draw | America Mineiro |
| 2-0 @ 13.02% ( 1-0 @ 12.82% ( 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 3-0 @ 8.81% ( 3-1 @ 6.45% ( 4-0 @ 4.47% ( 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 5-0 @ 1.82% ( 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 4-2 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 67.75% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 2-2 @ 3.49% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 19.82% | 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 1-2 @ 3.43% ( 0-2 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 12.42% |
How you voted: Internacional vs America Mineiro
Carlinhos (35'), Moura (49')


