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Internacional (Brasil)
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 6, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio José Pinheiro Borda

Internacional
4 - 1
Colo-Colo

Bustos (29'), Edenilson (32'), Alemao (60'), Henrique (74')
Gabriel (27'), Vitao (31'), de Pena (80'), Moises (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Costa (15' pen.)
Pavez (25'), Gil (27'), Zaldivia (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Internacional and Colo-Colo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Internacional

Last Six:
Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Internacional
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Colo-Colo

Last Six:
    Last Game: Colo-Colo 2-0 Internacional
    Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

    We said: Internacional 2-1 Colo-Colo

     The onus is more on Internacional to seize the initiative and take the fight to Colo Colo, who have a lead to protect. While we expect the home side to come out on top on the day, we are backing the visitors to go through on aggregate. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 47.89%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 23.54%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Colo-Colo win it was 0-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

    Result
    InternacionalDrawColo-Colo
    47.89% (0.107 0.11) 28.57% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 23.54% (-0.113 -0.11)
    Both teams to score 40.88% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    35.8% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)64.2% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    16.67% (-0.064 -0.06)83.33% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
    Internacional Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    72.89% (0.012 0.01)27.11% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    37.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)62.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
    Colo-Colo Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    56.09% (-0.163 -0.16)43.91% (0.16399999999999 0.16)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    19.95% (-0.134 -0.13)80.05% (0.134 0.13)
    Score Analysis
        Internacional 47.88%
        Colo-Colo 23.54%
        Draw 28.55%
    InternacionalDrawColo-Colo
    1-0 @ 15.53% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
    2-0 @ 10.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
    2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
    3-0 @ 4.41% (0.019 0.02)
    3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
    4-0 @ 1.44% (0.006 0.01)
    4-1 @ 1.19%
    Other @ 1.7%
    Total : 47.88%
    		1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    0-0 @ 11.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
    2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.018 -0.02)
    Other @ 0.44%
    Total : 28.55%
    		0-1 @ 9.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
    1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
    0-2 @ 4.03% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
    1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
    0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
    2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.009 -0.01)
    Other @ 0.96%
    Total : 23.54%

    How you voted: Internacional vs Colo-Colo

    Internacional
    50.0%
    Draw
    12.5%
    Colo-Colo
    37.5%
    16
    Head to Head
    Jun 29, 2022 1.30am
    Colo-Colo
    2-0
    Internacional
    Martin Lucero (12'), Solari (55')
    Fuentes (62'), Martin Lucero (70')

    Gabriel (17'), Mauricio (90+3')
    rhs 2.0
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