Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 41.65%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 29.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.