We said: Fluminense 2-1 Bragantino
While Bragantino will be looking to surge into the upper echelons of the table, next up is a rampant Fluminense side who are unbeaten in each of their last nine outings across all competitions. The Tricolor have won each of their last four home games and we are backing them to see off the visitors, albeit by a slender margin.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 50.37%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fluminense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fluminense.
-0.37) 
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