Brasileiro | Gameweek 19

Jul 24, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Fluminense
2 - 1
Bragantino

Arias (62'), Cano (66')
Nino (27'), Andre (53'), Manoel (82'), Melo (83'), Paulista (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Candido (72')
Silva (31'), Barbieri (69'), Eduardo (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Bragantino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 50.37%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 24.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fluminense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fluminense.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Bragantino
50.37% ( -0.37)	25.56% ( 0.23)	24.07% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 49.22% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.32% (

-0.79)

53.67% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.83% (

-0.67)

75.16% (

0.67)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.67% (

-0.48)

21.33% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.71% (

-0.74)

54.29% (

0.74)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.57% (

-0.31)

37.43% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.79% (

-0.31)

74.21% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 50.36%

Bragantino 24.07%

Draw 25.56%

Fluminense	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.37% Total : 50.36%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.56%	0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 24.07%