Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 44.68%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Goias had a probability of 27.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Goias win it was 1-0 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.