Goias
Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 20, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio da Serrinha
Fluminense

Goias
2 - 3
Fluminense

Raul (44'), Nicolas (80')
Maguinho (85'), Junior (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arias (28'), Cano (84'), Willian (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Goias and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Goias

Last Six:
Last Game: Juventude 0-0 Goias
Sunday, July 17 at 3pm in Brasileiro

Fluminense

Last Six:
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-2 Fluminense
Sunday, July 17 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 44.68%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Goias had a probability of 27.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Goias win it was 1-0 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
GoiasDrawFluminense
27.17% (0.503 0.5)28.16% (-0.582 -0.58)44.68% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 44.61% (1.802 1.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.09% (2.105 2.11)60.91% (-2.107 -2.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.07% (1.55 1.55)80.92% (-1.554 -1.55)
Goias Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.28% (1.618 1.62)38.72% (-1.622 -1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54% (1.502 1.5)75.46% (-1.505 -1.51)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8% (1.042 1.04)27.2% (-1.045 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (1.337 1.34)62.61% (-1.339 -1.34)
Score Analysis
    Goias 27.17%
    Fluminense 44.68%
    Draw 28.16%
GoiasDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.349 -0.35)
2-1 @ 6.17% (0.236 0.24)
2-0 @ 4.74% (0.046 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.95% (0.156 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.5% (0.078 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 27.17%
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 10.53% (-0.86 -0.86)
2-2 @ 4.02% (0.265 0.27)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 13.71% (-0.69 -0.69)
0-2 @ 8.93% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.203 0.2)
0-3 @ 3.88% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.68% (0.192 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.162 0.16)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 44.68%

How you voted: Goias vs Fluminense

Goias
17.4%
Draw
34.8%
Fluminense
47.8%
23
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2021 11.30pm
Fluminense
3-0
Goias
Nino (17'), Martinelli (26', 37')
Egidio (30')

Lopes (55'), Heron (89')
Oct 8, 2020 12.30am
Goias
2-4
Fluminense
Moura (22', 67' pen.)
Breno (23'), Ratinho (39'), Mendes (90+8')
Yago (40'), Fred (52'), Nene (70'), Digao (76')
Yago (33'), Pacheco (43')
Sep 22, 2019 11pm
Goias
3-0
Fluminense
Michael (12'), Vaz (66'), Yago (89')
Guedes (45'), Barcia (50'), Souza (62'), Sena (74')
Breno (81')
Apr 28, 2019 11pm
Fluminense
0-1
Goias

Nino (66'), Luciano (86'), Everaldo (88'), Ferraz (95')
Vaz (89')
Sena (86')