Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 48.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.