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Goias
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 10, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio da Serrinha
Athletico Paranaense

Goias
2 - 1
Athletico PR

Raul (5'), Nicolas (39')
Barcelos (53'), Bastos (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Terans (61' pen.)
Felipe (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Goias and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Goias

Last Six:
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-0 Goias
Sunday, July 3 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Athletico Paranaense

Last Six:
Last Game: Libertad 1-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Goias 1-1 Athletico Paranaense

 Athletico score at a rate of one goal per game when away from home in Serie A, while Goias find the net at a similar rate on home soil. While the hosts lack the firepower to upset their visitors by ending an impressive unbeaten run, they can grind out a draw thanks to a decent defensive record at Estadio da Serrinha. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Goias would win this match.

Result
GoiasDrawAthletico Paranaense
40.16% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 28.55% (0.004999999999999 0) 31.29% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.49% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.23% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)60.77% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.18% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)80.82% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Goias Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)29.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)65.64% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)72.14%
Score Analysis
    Goias 40.16%
    Athletico Paranaense 31.29%
    Draw 28.54%
GoiasDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.7%
4-1 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 40.16%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 10.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 31.29%

How you voted: Goias vs Athletico PR

Goias
10.7%
Draw
25.0%
Athletico Paranaense
64.3%
28
Head to Head
Nov 14, 2020 8pm
Goias
0-1
Athletico PR

Duarte (28'), Chico (40'), Moura (76'), Pintado (85'), Fernandao (90')
Kayzer (20')
Nikao (34')
Aug 12, 2020 11.15pm
Athletico PR
2-1
Goias
Vitinho (32'), Eduardo (76')
Moreira (42'), Heleno (45+11'), Halter (59')
Bessa (45+13' pen.)
Bessa (21'), Vaz (89'), Andrade (90+2')
Oct 27, 2019 7pm
Athletico PR
4-1
Goias
Pereira (48'), Rony (53'), Adriano (62'), Ruben (94')
Khellven (16')
Moura (45')
Breno (53')
Jun 14, 2019 12am
Goias
2-1
Athletico PR
Kayke (6'), Barcia (32')
Jefferson (15')
Vaz (92' og.)
Rony (8'), Martins (54'), Guimaraes (61')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030
> Brasileiro Full Table


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