Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Jul 6, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Dr. Nicolas Leoz

Libertad
1 - 1
Athletico PR

(Athletico Paranaense win 3-2 on aggregate)

Santa Cruz (45+4')
Piris (82'), Barboza (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cardoso (90+1')
Vinicius (42'), Roque (62'), Henrique (75'), Fernandes (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Club Libertad and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Libertad
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Club Libertad	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
46.22% ( 0.41)	23.02% ( 0.06)	30.75% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 63.05% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.04% (

-0.52)

37.96% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.78% (

-0.55)

60.22% (

0.55)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.18% (

-0.05)

16.82% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.2% (

-0.08)

46.8% (

0.08)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.8% (

-0.53)

24.2% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.46% (

-0.76)

58.54% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Club Libertad 46.22%

Athletico Paranaense 30.75%

Draw 23.02%

Club Libertad	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.29% Total : 46.22%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.02%	1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.75%