Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 6, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolas Leoz
Libertad1 - 1Athletico PR
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 3 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 3 at 1am in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Atletico Mineiro | 15 | 7 | 27 |
| 3 | Athletico Paranaense | 15 | 4 | 27 |
| 4 | Corinthians | 15 | 3 | 26 |
We said: Club Libertad 2-1 Athletico Paranaense (Athletico Paranaense win on penalties)
There are plenty of valid reasons that might suggest each of these sides have an equal chance of capturing this encounter, making it an extremely tough match to call. It seems therefore like the only viable solution to settle this tie is to leave it up to chance, and cruel as it may be, we expect Paranaense to show a little more composure in what promises to be a tense encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Club Libertad | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
46.22% ( 0.41) | 23.02% ( 0.06) | 30.75% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 63.05% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
