Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Jul 29, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
0 - 1
Fluminense

(Fluminense win 3-2 on aggregate)

Capixaba (10'), Sasha (25'), Crispim (47')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Nonato (35')
Nonato (16')

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Quarter-Finals clash between Fortaleza and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 35.92%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Fluminense
35.92% ( 0.19)	29.3% ( 0.61)	34.78% ( -0.79)

Both teams to score 44.04% (

-1.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.17% (

-2.09)

62.83% (

2.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.66% (

-1.54)

82.35% (

1.55)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.74% (

-0.96)

33.26% (

0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.13% (

-1.07)

69.87% (

1.08)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.99% (

-1.62)

34.02% (

1.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.3% (

-1.78)

70.7% (

1.79)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 35.92%

Fluminense 34.78%

Draw 29.29%

Fortaleza	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.63) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.53% Total : 35.92%	1-1 @ 13.43% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.85) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.29%	0-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.36% Total : 34.78%