Fluminense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Aug 20, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Coritiba

Fluminense
5 - 2
Coritiba

Paulista (3'), Arias (36'), Nathan (77'), Willian (90+1', 90+5')
Diniz (87'), Willian (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Manga (72'), Egidio (84')
Val (45+1'), Natanael (57')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Coritiba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

Last Six:
Last Game: Fluminense 2-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, August 18 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

Coritiba

Last Six:
Last Game: Coritiba 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, August 14 at 3pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 65.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawCoritiba
65.94% (0.018000000000001 0.02)19.87% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)14.19% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.82% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.86% (0.297 0.3)44.14% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.48% (0.287 0.29)66.52% (-0.285 -0.28)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.47% (0.095999999999989 0.1)12.53% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.44% (0.194 0.19)38.56% (-0.192 -0.19)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.95% (0.236 0.24)43.04% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.67% (0.195 0.2)79.33% (-0.193 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 65.93%
    Coritiba 14.19%
    Draw 19.87%
FluminenseDrawCoritiba
2-0 @ 11.63% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.06% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.79% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.53% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.031 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.74% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 65.93%
1-1 @ 9.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.39% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 19.87%
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.015 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 14.19%

Head to Head
May 1, 2022 8pm
Coritiba
3-2
Fluminense
Gamalho (53' pen., 90+4'), Andrey (61')
Ganso (19', 36')
Ganso (35'), Andre (47'), Duarte (69')
Andre (51')
Jan 20, 2021 11.30pm
Coritiba
3-3
Fluminense
Henrique (3'), Natanael (33'), Robson (76')
Neilton (70')
Robson (90+5')
Kennedy (59'), Fred (72'), Paulista (90+1')
Fred (54'), Yago (64'), Martinelli (81'), Calegari (83')
Paulista (90+4')
Sep 29, 2020 12am
Fluminense
4-0
Coritiba
Araujo (8'), Felippe Cardoso dos Santos (61'), Nino (72'), Ganso (87' pen.)
Barcelos (33')

Matheus (58')
Moreira Milouski (87')