Coritiba
Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Jul 26, 2022 at 12am UK
Estádio Couto Pereira
Cuiaba

Coritiba
1 - 0
Cuiaba

Manga (40')
Val (18'), Alexandre (27'), Henrique (31'), Castan (84'), Anderson (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pepe (60'), Igor (84'), Jenison (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Cuiaba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coritiba

Last Six:
Last Game: Corinthians 3-1 Coritiba
Thursday, July 21 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Cuiaba

Last Six:
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, July 21 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coritiba in this match.

Result
CoritibaDrawCuiaba
56.5% (0.906 0.91)25.18% (-0.274 -0.27)18.32% (-0.63 -0.63)
Both teams to score 42.9% (-0.262 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.92% (0.198 0.2)58.08% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.25% (0.157 0.16)78.75% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (0.446 0.45)20.58% (-0.446 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.89% (0.701 0.7)53.12% (-0.699 -0.7)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.01% (-0.636 -0.64)45.99% (0.638 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.29% (-0.498 -0.5)81.71% (0.5 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Coritiba 56.49%
    Cuiaba 18.32%
    Draw 25.18%
CoritibaDrawCuiaba
1-0 @ 14.96% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
2-0 @ 11.82% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.23% (0.205 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.46% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.88% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 56.49%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.35% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 18.32%

How you voted: Coritiba vs Cuiaba

Coritiba
66.7%
Draw
19.0%
Cuiaba
14.3%
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