Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2022 1.30am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Roger Guedes 36' goal
  • Rafael Ramos 39' yellowcard
  • Adson 67' goal
  • Raul Gustavo 85' goal
  • yellowcard Val 16'
  • goal Luciano Castan 54'
  • yellowcard Willian Farias 82'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Martinez 90'+2'

Corinthians vs Coritiba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Jul 17, 2022 1.00am
Ceara 3 - 1 Corinthians
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Roger Guedes

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
Jul 16, 2022 11.00pm
Flamengo 2 - 0 Coritiba
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Alef Manga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 15.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result

Corinthians 60.79% (-0.16)
Draw 23.22% (+0.12)
Coritiba 15.98% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.89% (-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.62% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 54.37% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 24.25% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 75.75% (+0.30)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 82.45% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 17.55% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 51.91% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 48.08% (+0.33)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5 53.23% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 46.76% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 17.69% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 82.31% (+0.12)

Score analysis

Corinthians 60.79%
Draw 23.22%
Coritiba 15.98%
Corinthians
1-0 @ 14.28% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 12.42% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.21% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 3.14% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 60.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.85% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.21% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 3.59% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 23.22%
Coritiba
0-1 @ 6.24% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 4.13% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.37% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 15.98%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Nov 26, 2020 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Mailton 20' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Augusto 78' yellowcard
  • goal Fabio Santos 21'
  • yellowcard Luan Vieira 63'
  • yellowcard Fagner 69'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2020 1.30am
3
1
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Angelo Araos 17' yellowcard
  • Leo Natel 38' goal
  • Jo 49' goal
  • Lucas Piton Crivellaro 73' yellowcard
  • Lucas Piton 73' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Henric da Silva 87' goal
  • Gustavo Silva 87' goal
  • redcard Yan Sasse 15'
  • yellowcard Patrick 28'
  • goal Sassa 42'
  • goal Sassa 42'