Brasileiro | Gameweek 18

Jul 21, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estádio do Pacaembu

Corinthians
3 - 1
Coritiba

Guedes (36'), Adson (67'), Gustavo (85')
Ramos (39')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Castan (54')
Val (16'), Farias (82'), Martinez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Coritiba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 15.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Coritiba
60.79% ( -0.16)	23.22% ( 0.11)	15.98% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 43.89% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.62% (

-0.36)

54.37% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.25% (

-0.3)

75.75% (

0.29)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.45% (

-0.19)

17.55% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.91% (

-0.33)

48.08% (

0.32)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.23% (

-0.16)

46.76% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.69% (

-0.12)

82.31% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 60.79%

Coritiba 15.98%

Draw 23.22%

Corinthians	Draw	Coritiba
1-0 @ 14.28% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 60.79%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.57% Total : 23.22%	0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.29% Total : 15.98%