Brasileiro | Gameweek 17

Jul 17, 2022 at 1am UK

Castelao

Ceara
3 - 1
Corinthians

Pacheco (28'), Vinicius (33'), Cleber (76')
Cleber (38')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Guedes (4')
Giovane (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
Ceara	Draw	Corinthians
58.11% ( 0.08)	25.02% ( 0)	16.87% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 40.95% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.69% (

-0.1)

59.31% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.29% (

-0.07)

79.71% (

0.08)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.57% (

-0)

20.43% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.12% (

-0.01)

52.88% (

0.01)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.46% (

-0.16)

48.54% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.38% (

-0.12)

83.62% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Ceara 58.1%

Corinthians 16.87%

Draw 25.01%

Ceara	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 15.74% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 58.1%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.45% Total : 25.01%	0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 16.87%