Coritiba
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Estádio Couto Pereira

Coritiba
2 - 2
Juventude

Gamalho (53'), Martinez (78')
Henrique (33')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Henrique (5'), Bueno (34' pen.)
Moraes (40'), Kelven (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Juventude, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coritiba

Last Six:
Last Game: Coritiba 2-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, July 3 at 10.45pm in Brasileiro

Juventude

Last Six:
Last Game: Juventude 1-2 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, July 2 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 58.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 16.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.34%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
CoritibaDrawJuventude
58.48% (0.025999999999996 0.03)24.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)16.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.19% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.28% (0.024000000000001 0.02)57.72% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.53% (0.018999999999998 0.02)78.47% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.022000000000006 0.02)19.66% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.36% (0.030999999999999 0.03)51.64% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.52%47.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)82.85% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Coritiba 58.47%
    Juventude 16.95%
    Draw 24.57%
CoritibaDrawJuventude
1-0 @ 15.18%
2-0 @ 12.34%
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.7% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.72% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 58.47%
1-1 @ 11.31%
0-0 @ 9.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.43%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.21% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 16.95%

How you voted: Coritiba vs Juventude

Coritiba
76.5%
Draw
23.5%
Juventude
0.0%
17