Brasileiro | Gameweek 17

Jul 16, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Flamengo
2 - 0
Coritiba

Henrique (13'), Diego (22')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Coritiba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

Last Six:

Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, July 14 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Bragantino	16	4	21
10	Flamengo	16	1	21
11	Botafogo	16	-4	21

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 71.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 10.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.91%) and 3-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Flamengo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Coritiba
71.74% ( -1.72)	18.13% ( 1.07)	10.13% ( 0.65)

Both teams to score 42.81% (

-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.35% (

-2.77)

46.65% (

2.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.09% (

-2.65)

68.91% (

2.65)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.35% (

-1.21)

11.65% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.3% (

-2.67)

36.7% (

2.67)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.45% (

-0.45)

51.55% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.3% (

-0.29)

85.7% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 71.73%

Coritiba 10.13%

Draw 18.13%

Flamengo	Draw	Coritiba
2-0 @ 13.87% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 12.91% ( 0.86) 3-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.3) 4-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.45) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.35) 5-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.15% Total : 71.73%	1-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.67) 2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.53% Total : 18.13%	0-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.99% Total : 10.13%