Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 74.74%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 8.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.31%) and 3-0 (10.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.