Brasileiro | Gameweek 17

Jul 19, 2022 at 12am UK

Estadio Palestra Italia

Palmeiras
1 - 0
Cuiaba

Veron (49')
Gomez (43'), Cerqueira (68'), Atuesta (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lucas (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Cuiaba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

Last Six:

Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Sao Paulo (3-4 pen.)
Friday, July 15 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Atletico Mineiro	17	8	31
2	Palmeiras	16	15	30
3	Internacional	17	8	29

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 74.74%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 8.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.31%) and 3-0 (10.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Cuiaba
74.74% ( 0.13)	16.88% ( -0.05)	8.38% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 39.85% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.42% (

-0.05)

46.59% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.15% (

-0.04)

68.86% (

0.05)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.17% (

0.02)

10.83% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.1% (

0.05)

34.9% (

-0.04)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.69% (

-0.21)

55.31% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.94% (

-0.12)

88.07% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 74.72%

Cuiaba 8.38%

Draw 16.88%

Palmeiras	Draw	Cuiaba
2-0 @ 14.79% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 74.72%	1-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.41% Total : 16.88%	0-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 8.38%