Ceara
Brasileiro | Gameweek 22
Aug 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Castelao
Fortaleza

Ceara
0 - 1
Fortaleza


Paraiba (35'), Lacerda (37'), Mendoza (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moises (17')
Galhardo (37'), Marcelo (37'), Robson (44'), Welison (57')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceara

Last Six:
Last Game: Ceara 2-1 Sao Paulo (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 10 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Fortaleza

Last Six:
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-0 Internacional
Sunday, August 7 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
CearaDrawFortaleza
51.35% (-1.03 -1.03)26.74% (0.347 0.35)21.92% (0.685 0.68)
Both teams to score 43.74% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.36% (-0.545 -0.55)59.64% (0.546 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.04% (-0.419 -0.42)79.96% (0.422 0.42)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (-0.687 -0.69)23.41% (0.689 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (-1.009 -1.01)57.4% (1.01 1.01)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.11% (0.403 0.4)42.89% (-0.39899999999999 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.81% (0.338 0.34)79.2% (-0.33500000000001 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Ceara 51.33%
    Fortaleza 21.92%
    Draw 26.73%
CearaDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 14.57%
2-0 @ 10.58% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.12% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 51.33%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 10.04% (0.205 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 8.5% (0.265 0.27)
1-2 @ 5.22% (0.115 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.15 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.92%

Head to Head
Jul 14, 2022 12am
Ceara
1-0
Fortaleza
Vinicius (61')
Vinicius (7'), Richardson (80')

Romarinho (13'), Felipe (67'), Hercules (76'), Pikachu (83'), Welison (90')
Jun 23, 2022 12am
Fortaleza
2-0
Ceara
Jun 2, 2022 12.30am
Fortaleza
0-1
Ceara

Ceballos (20'), Lima (27'), Pikachu (57'), Welison (89')
Felipe (20')
Cleber (45+11')
Richard (20'), Richardson (33'), Cleber (45+12'), Lima (55')
Nov 17, 2021 11pm
Fortaleza
0-4
Ceara

Ronald (89'), Marcelo (90+1')
Lima (14'), Vinicius (45+1', 86'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Fabinho (66'), Ricardo (66'), Dias (69'), Mendoza (80')
Aug 2, 2021 12.30am
Ceara
3-1
Fortaleza
Kelvyn (37'), Cleber (81'), Rick (86')
Marlon (55'), Lacerda (90+6')
Tinga (11')
de Vargas (53'), David (60'), Titi (75')