Brasileiro | Gameweek 18

Jul 20, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Castelao

Ceara
1 - 0
Avai

Vinicius (45+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ventura (45'), Julio Alves de Paula (90+2'), Vitinho (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Avai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Avai had a probability of 11.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
Ceara	Draw	Avai
68.57% ( -0.08)	19.79% ( -0.07)	11.64% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 42.83% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.43% (

0.61)

49.57% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.4% (

0.55)

71.6% (

-0.55)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.59% (

0.16)

13.41% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.64% (

0.33)

40.36% (

-0.33)

Avai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.46% (

0.65)

50.54% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.97% (

0.44)

85.03% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Ceara 68.56%

Avai 11.64%

Draw 19.79%

Ceara	Draw	Avai
2-0 @ 13.67% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 4.6% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 68.56%	1-1 @ 9.29% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.53% Total : 19.79%	0-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 11.64%