Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 20, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Castelao
Ceara1 - 0Avai
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ceara 3-1 Corinthians
Sunday, July 17 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 17 at 1am in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Santos | 17 | 4 | 22 |
| 11 | Ceara | 17 | 1 | 21 |
| 12 | Goias | 17 | -3 | 21 |
Last Game: Avai 1-0 Santos
Saturday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Botafogo | 17 | -5 | 21 |
| 14 | Avai | 17 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Cuiaba | 17 | -5 | 19 |
We said: Ceara 2-1 Avai
Ceara at home are usually a good bet to come away with something, and when you add to that how poor Avai have been this season along the backline, we expect Vozao to triumph, especially given their consistency at Castelao. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Avai had a probability of 11.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Avai |
68.57% ( -0.08) | 19.79% ( -0.07) | 11.64% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 42.83% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
