/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fcealog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Favalog.png)
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Vinicius
45'+3'
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Lucas Ventura
45'
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Victor Julio Alves de Paula
90'+2'
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Vitinho
90'+2'
Ceara vs Avai - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F26%2Flima.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Avai had a probability of 11.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
Result
Ceara
68.57%
▼
(-0.09)
Draw
19.79%
▼
(-0.07)
Avai
11.64%
▲
(+0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
42.83%
▲
(+0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.43%
▲
(+0.62)
Under 2.5
49.57%
▼
(-0.62)
Over 3.5
28.4%
▲
(+0.55)
Under 3.5
71.6%
▼
(-0.55)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5
86.59%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
13.41%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
59.64%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 1.5
40.36%
▼
(-0.34)
Avai Goals
Over 0.5
49.46%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 0.5
50.54%
▼
(-0.65)
Over 1.5
14.97%
▲
(+0.44)
Under 1.5
85.03%
▼
(-0.44)
Score analysis
Ceara
68.56%
Draw
19.79%
Avai
11.64%
Ceara
2-0
@
13.67%
▼
(-0.18)
1-0 @ 13.61% ▼ (-0.26)
2-1 @ 9.34% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 68.56%
1-0 @ 13.61% ▼ (-0.26)
2-1 @ 9.34% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 68.56%
Draw
1-1
@
9.29%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 19.79%
0-0 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 19.79%
Avai
0-1
@
4.63%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 11.64%
1-2 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 11.64%