Brasileiro | Gameweek 25

Sep 3, 2022 at 11pm UK

Arena da Baixada

Athletico PR
1 - 0
Fluminense

Pablo (26')
Garcia (88'), Paixao (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Fluminense
36.66% ( -0.6)	28.4% ( 0.04)	34.95% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 46.59% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.28% (

-0.1)

59.72% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.97% (

-0.08)

80.03% (

0.08)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.81% (

-0.43)

31.19% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.47% (

-0.5)

67.53% (

0.5)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.71% (

0.32)

32.29% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.21% (

0.36)

68.79% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 36.65%

Fluminense 34.94%

Draw 28.39%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.65%	1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.39%	0-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.94%