Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Aug 7, 2022 at 11pm UK
Mineirão
Athletico Paranaense

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 3
Athletico PR

Rabello (30'), Pavon (54')
Rodrigues de Souza (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Roque (46', 56'), Canobbio (90+6')
Pedrinho (51'), Canobbio (76')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-2 Palmeiras
Thursday, August 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Athletico Paranaense

Last Six:
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-0 Estudiantes
Friday, August 5 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 67.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 12.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.8%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawAthletico Paranaense
67.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.57%12.08% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 41.86% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.33% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)51.67% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.55% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)73.45% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.56% (-0.012 -0.01)14.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.61% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)42.39% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.93% (-0.067 -0.07)51.07% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.61% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)85.39% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 67.34%
    Athletico Paranaense 12.08%
    Draw 20.57%
Atletico MineiroDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 14.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 13.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.91% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 4.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.9% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.67%
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 67.34%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 7.38% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 20.57%
0-1 @ 4.96%
1-2 @ 3.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.67% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 12.08%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 10pm
Athletico PR
0-1
Atletico Mineiro

Pablo (73'), Moura (80')
Zaracho (49')
Fernandez (78'), Ademir (80'), Silva (90+1')
Dec 16, 2021 12.30am
Athletico PR
1-2
Atletico Mineiro
Jaderson (87')
Kayzer (29'), Vinicius (45+5'), Cittadini (45+7')
Keno (25'), Hulk (76')
Vargas (45+7'), Jair (56')
Dec 12, 2021 8.30pm
Atletico Mineiro
4-0
Athletico PR
Hulk (24' pen.), Keno (35'), Vargas (56', 69')
Hulk (22'), Arana (58'), Rabello (80')

Heleno (11'), Hernandez (19'), Henrique (53')
Nov 16, 2021 7pm
Athletico PR
0-1
Atletico Mineiro

Eduardo (41')
Zaracho (45')
Costa (38'), Jair (41')
Aug 1, 2021 8pm
Atletico Mineiro
2-0
Athletico PR
Vargas (60' pen.), Fialho de Carvalho Neto (69')
Mariano (45'), Fialho de Carvalho Neto (67'), Vargas (86')
Vargas (89')

Heleno (59'), Christian (80'), Erick (90+1')