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Copa Libertadores

Athletico Paranaense
Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 5, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Arena da Baixada
Estudiantes

Athletico PR
0 - 0
Estudiantes


Fernandinho (19'), Moura (67')
FT

Piatti (37'), Rogel (62'), Castro (69'), Zuqui (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Athletico Paranaense and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

Last Six:
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, July 31 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Estudiantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-0 Banfield
Saturday, July 30 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawEstudiantes
56.65% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)23.75% (0.051000000000002 0.05)19.6% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.82% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.73% (-0.151 -0.15)51.27% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.9% (-0.13 -0.13)73.1% (0.131 0.13)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.09% (-0.086000000000013 -0.09)17.91% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.28% (-0.149 -0.15)48.72% (0.15 0.15)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.47% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)40.53% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)77.13% (0.041000000000011 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 56.64%
    Estudiantes 19.6%
    Draw 23.74%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 12.48% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.73%
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 56.64%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.09% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 2.96% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 19.6%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Estudiantes

Athletico Paranaense
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Estudiantes
7.7%
13