Estudiantes
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Jul 20, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Único

Estudiantes
3 - 1
Barracas Central

Diaz (11'), Rollheiser (53'), Piatti (83')
Morel (47'), Piatti (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tapia (21')
Arce (45+3'), Sepulveda (58'), Blanco (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Barracas Central, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Estudiantes
Sunday, July 17 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Barracas Central

Last Six:
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-3 Argentinos Jrs
Saturday, July 16 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 10.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.89%) and 3-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.

Result
EstudiantesDrawBarracas Central
68.41% (2.28 2.28)20.71% (-1.039 -1.04)10.87% (-1.243 -1.24)
Both teams to score 38.01% (-0.856 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.15% (1.055 1.06)54.84% (-1.059 -1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.86% (0.865 0.87)76.14% (-0.86800000000001 -0.87)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.86% (1.105 1.11)15.14% (-1.107 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.28% (2.047 2.05)43.72% (-2.048 -2.05)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.79% (-1.613 -1.61)55.21% (1.611 1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.99% (-0.982 -0.98)88.01% (0.98 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 68.4%
    Barracas Central 10.87%
    Draw 20.71%
EstudiantesDrawBarracas Central
1-0 @ 15.77% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 14.89% (0.51 0.51)
3-0 @ 9.37% (0.663 0.66)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.57% (0.135 0.14)
4-0 @ 4.43% (0.467 0.47)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.16 0.16)
5-0 @ 1.67% (0.232 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 68.4%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.495 -0.5)
0-0 @ 8.36% (-0.349 -0.35)
2-2 @ 2.63% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 20.71%
0-1 @ 4.97% (-0.465 -0.47)
1-2 @ 2.78% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-2 @ 1.47% (-0.219 -0.22)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 10.87%

How you voted: Estudiantes vs Barracas Central

Estudiantes
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Barracas Central
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Barracas Central
1-6
Estudiantes
Tapia (33')
Tapia (53'), Castro (61')
Del Prete (2', 20'), Castro (18'), Boselli (26'), Diaz (69' pen.), Orosco (90')
Mas (32'), Lattanzio (78')
Mas (45')