Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 3, 2022 at 7pm UK
 
San Lorenzo

Barracas Central
2 - 1
San Lorenzo

Sepulveda (14'), Bandiera (39')
Calderara (72'), Manuel Vazquez (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bareiro (37')
(41'), Gattoni (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Barracas Central and San Lorenzo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barracas Central

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Last Game: Banfield 1-1 Barracas Central
Friday, June 24 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
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San Lorenzo

Last Six:
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Tigre
Sunday, June 26 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 45%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Barracas CentralDrawSan Lorenzo
27.8% (-0.012 -0.01)27.2% (-0.012 -0.01)45% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.6% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.7% (0.034999999999997 0.03)57.3% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.86% (0.024999999999999 0.02)78.14% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.79% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)36.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (0.025999999999996 0.03)25.37% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (0.035000000000004 0.04)60.17% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Barracas Central 27.8%
    San Lorenzo 45%
    Draw 27.2%
Barracas CentralDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 9.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.5%
2-0 @ 4.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.2%
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 27.8%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 9.19% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 12.6%
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.64% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 4.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.95% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.36% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 45%

How you voted: Barracas Central vs San Lorenzo

Barracas Central
29.4%
Draw
23.5%
San Lorenzo
47.1%
17