Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 20, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Arena da Baixada

Athletico PR
4 - 1
Atletico GO

Cuello (9'), Canobbio (14'), Terans (49'), Cittadini (90+5')
Cuello (71'), Terans (84'), Roque (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kelvin (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Atletico Goianiense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

Last Six:
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-0 Internacional
Saturday, July 16 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro

Atletico Goianiense

Last Six:
Last Game: Atletico GO 0-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, July 17 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 22.23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawAtletico Goianiense
52.43% (-0.202 -0.2)25.33% (0.126 0.13)22.23% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 47.86% (-0.26 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (-0.392 -0.39)54.43% (0.395 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (-0.327 -0.33)75.8% (0.33 0.33)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)20.77% (0.243 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (-0.38 -0.38)53.42% (0.384 0.38)
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.41% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)39.59% (0.147 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72% (-0.135 -0.14)76.27% (0.137 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 52.42%
    Atletico Goianiense 22.23%
    Draw 25.33%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawAtletico Goianiense
1-0 @ 12.92% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 52.42%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.126 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.087 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.55%
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 22.23%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Atletico GO

Athletico Paranaense
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Atletico Goianiense
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2021 11pm
Atletico GO
0-2
Athletico PR

Eder (56'), Roberto (61'), Paulo (80')
Marcinho (43'), Terans (51')
Terans (20'), Erick (57'), Ivaldo (90+1')
Jun 20, 2021 10.15pm
Athletico PR
2-1
Atletico GO
Babi (43'), Christian (71')
Terans (35'), Babi (76')
Baralhas (13')
Paulo (55'), Roberto (90')
Feb 14, 2021 9.15pm
Athletico PR
2-1
Atletico GO
Vitinho (63'), Heleno (90+2')
Vinicius (29'), Richard (42'), Moreira (45+4')
Roberson (71')
Chico (41')
Oct 17, 2020 11pm
Atletico GO
1-1
Athletico PR
Roberto (45+1')
Victor (29'), Eder (40'), de Vargas (45+6')
Maranhao (19')
Cittadini (61')
Martins (13'), Gomes (45+4'), Cittadini (52'), Vinicius (64'), Geuvanio (90+4')