Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
| 38.79% | 27.53% | 33.68% |
| Both teams to score 49.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.36% | 56.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.39% | 77.61% |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.61% | 28.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.86% | 64.14% |
| Atletico Goianiense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.45% | 31.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.05% | 67.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.78% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 8.96% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 10.33% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.68% |


