Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
