Brasileiro | Gameweek 19

Jul 24, 2022 at 1am UK

Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Botafogo
2 - 0
Athletico PR

Erison (19'), Jeffinho (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Heleno (47'), Terans (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
42.02% ( -0.33)	28.19% ( -0.11)	29.78% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 45.89% (

0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.01% (

0.54)

59.99% (

-0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.77% (

0.4)

80.23% (

-0.41)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.82% (

0.08)

28.18% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.13% (

0.1)

63.86% (

-0.1)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.89% (

0.63)

36.1% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.11% (

0.64)

72.88% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 42.02%

Athletico Paranaense 29.78%

Draw 28.18%

Botafogo	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.88% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 42.02%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.18%	0-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.95% Total : 29.78%