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Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Jul 24, 2022 at 1am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Athletico Paranaense

Botafogo
2 - 0
Athletico PR

Erison (19'), Jeffinho (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Heleno (47'), Terans (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos 2-0 Botafogo
Thursday, July 21 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Botafogo 1-3 Athletico Paranaense

The visitors will have renewed confidence following their return to winning ways, and they meet Botafogo at a good time with Castro's side struggling for form. We envisage an away victory on Sunday, with the Rubro-Negro having enough to outclass their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
BotafogoDrawAthletico Paranaense
42.02% (-0.327 -0.33) 28.19% (-0.113 -0.11) 29.78% (0.438 0.44)
Both teams to score 45.89% (0.505 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.01% (0.535 0.54)59.99% (-0.536 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.77% (0.404 0.4)80.23% (-0.40599999999999 -0.41)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82% (0.078999999999994 0.08)28.18% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.13% (0.099000000000004 0.1)63.86% (-0.1 -0.1)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (0.632 0.63)36.1% (-0.633 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (0.638 0.64)72.88% (-0.63900000000001 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 42.02%
    Athletico Paranaense 29.78%
    Draw 28.18%
BotafogoDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.88% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 42.02%
1-1 @ 13.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.17% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.18%
0-1 @ 10.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.075 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 29.78%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2021 10.15pm
Botafogo
0-2
Athletico PR

Marcelo (69'), Babi (71'), Alexandre (83')
Kayzer (31'), Cittadini (48')
Nikao (44'), Kayzer (45+2')
Sep 9, 2020 9.30pm
Nov 17, 2019 9pm
Athletico PR
1-0
Botafogo
Anderson (59')
Anderson (39'), Heleno (47'), Bambu (65'), Azevedo (85')

Carli (22')
Aug 11, 2019 8pm
Botafogo
2-1
Athletico PR
Morais (31'), Souza (77' pen.)
Paulo (40'), Pimpao (49'), Santos (67')
Anderson (16')
Cittadini (49')
Oct 28, 2018 1am
Athletico PR
2-1
Botafogo
Bergson (56'), Pablo (84')
Guilherme (40'), Bergson (44')
Brenner (30' pen.)
Saulo (50'), Conceicao (64'), Carli (64'), Fernandes (72'), Fernando (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR00000000
2Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO00000000
3Atletico Mineiro00000000
4Bahia00000000
5Botafogo00000000
6BragantinoBragantino00000000
7Corinthians00000000
8CriciumaCriciuma00000000
9Cruzeiro00000000
10Cuiaba00000000
11FlamengoFlamengo00000000
12Fluminense00000000
13FortalezaFortaleza00000000
14Gremio00000000
15InternacionalInternacional00000000
16JuventudeJuventude00000000
17PalmeirasPalmeiras00000000
18Sao Paulo00000000
19Vasco da GamaVasco00000000
20Vitoria00000000


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