Flamengo
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo
0 - 0
Athletico PR


Barbosa (41'), Maia (87'), De Arrascaeta (90+1'), Pereira (90+6')
FT

Bento (23'), Erick (38'), Fernandinho (41'), Cittadini (86'), Felipe (90+6')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Quarter-Finals clash between Flamengo and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

Last Six:
Last Game: Avai 1-2 Flamengo
Sunday, July 24 at 3pm in Brasileiro

Athletico Paranaense

Last Six:
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 24 at 1am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 14.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
FlamengoDrawAthletico Paranaense
65.06% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)20.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)14.48% (0.09 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.63% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.89% (0.246 0.25)46.11% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.59% (0.232 0.23)68.41% (-0.235 -0.23)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61% (0.052999999999997 0.05)13.39% (-0.054 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.69% (0.108 0.11)40.31% (-0.11 -0.11)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.15% (0.279 0.28)43.85% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20% (0.228 0.23)80% (-0.23 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 65.04%
    Athletico Paranaense 14.48%
    Draw 20.46%
FlamengoDrawAthletico Paranaense
2-0 @ 11.86% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 11.8% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.96% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.56% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 4% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 65.04%
1-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 20.46%
0-1 @ 4.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.01% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 14.48%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 8.30pm
Athletico PR
1-0
Flamengo
Terans (32' pen.)
Felipe (41'), Manuel Orejuela (49'), Christian (85'), Halter (87')

Pablo (55'), Marinho (70')
Nov 2, 2021 7pm
Athletico PR
2-2
Flamengo
Kayzer (63'), Bissoli (90+5')
Terans (5'), Heleno (21'), Kayzer (35'), Hernandez (70')
Barbosa (17', 29')
Pereira (27'), Pereira (76')
Oct 3, 2021 8pm
Flamengo
3-0
Athletico PR
Ribeiro (5'), Henrique (10'), Pereira (45+4')
De Arrascaeta (56'), Isla (72')

Nicolas (51'), Hernandez (90+4')
Jan 24, 2021 7pm
Athletico PR
2-1
Flamengo
Vinicius (25'), Kayzer (83')
Moreira (27'), Nikao (69')
Henrique (34')
Nov 5, 2020 12.30am
Flamengo
3-2
Athletico PR
Pedro (24', 34'), Michael (84')
Pereira (6'), Maia (41')
Erick (41'), Bissoli (88')
Vinicius (39'), Ravanelli (51')