Athletico Paranaense
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Arena de Baixada
Flamengo

Athletico PR
0 - 1
Flamengo


Terans (23'), Fernandinho (78'), Moura (79'), Henrique (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pedro (57')
Gomes (29')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Quarter-Finals clash between Athletico Paranaense and Flamengo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFlamengo
32.43% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)26.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)41.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)52.07% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)73.8% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.92% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)30.08% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.78% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)66.22% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.08% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)24.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.46% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)59.54% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 32.43%
    Flamengo 41.26%
    Draw 26.3%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.41%
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 32.43%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 10.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-2 @ 7.24% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 4.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 41.26%

Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 8pm
Flamengo
5-0
Athletico PR
Bruno (56', 59'), Lucas (63'), Lazaro (72'), Pedro (90+2')
Pablo (43'), Souza (44'), Maia (49')

Bueno (54'), Santana (66')
Jul 28, 2022 1.30am
Flamengo
0-0
Athletico PR

Barbosa (41'), Maia (87'), De Arrascaeta (90+1'), Pereira (90+6')
Luiz (90+7')

Bento (23'), Erick (38'), Fernandinho (41'), Cittadini (86'), Felipe (90+6')
Apr 23, 2022 8.30pm
Athletico PR
1-0
Flamengo
Terans (32' pen.)
Felipe (41'), Manuel Orejuela (49'), Christian (85'), Halter (87')

Pablo (55'), Marinho (70')
Nov 2, 2021 7pm
Athletico PR
2-2
Flamengo
Kayzer (63'), Bissoli (90+5')
Terans (5'), Heleno (21'), Kayzer (35'), Hernandez (70')
Barbosa (17', 29')
Pereira (27'), Pereira (76')
Oct 3, 2021 8pm
Flamengo
3-0
Athletico PR
Ribeiro (5'), Henrique (10'), Pereira (45+4')
De Arrascaeta (56'), Isla (72')

Nicolas (51'), Hernandez (90+4')
rhs 2.0


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