Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Aug 10, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Flamengo
1 - 0
Corinthians

(Flamengo win 3-0 on aggregate)

Pedro (52')
Pereira (25')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gustavo (62')
Mendez (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Flamengo and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

Last Six:

Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-2 Flamengo
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Athletico Paranaense	21	6	37
5	Flamengo	21	13	36
6	Internacional	21	7	33

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 14.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Corinthians
61.85% ( 0)	23.52% ( -0)	14.63% ( 0)

Both teams to score 40.37% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.46% (

0.02)

57.53% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.68% (

0.01)

78.32% (

-0.01)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.67% (

0.01)

18.33% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.57% (

0.01)

49.42% (

-0.01)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.42% (

0.01)

50.57% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.95% (

0.01)

85.05% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 61.84%

Corinthians 14.63%

Draw 23.52%

Flamengo	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 15.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 13.34% 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.77% Total : 61.84%	1-1 @ 10.72% 0-0 @ 9.27% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.43% Total : 23.52%	0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.66% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.15% Other @ 2.5% Total : 14.63%