Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 77.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 7.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.16%) and 3-0 (11.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Juventude
77.67% ( 1.41)	15.11% ( -0.72)	7.22% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 40.24% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.24% (

0.75)

42.76% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.83% (

0.74)

65.16% (

-0.75)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.88% (

0.53)

9.11% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.06% (

1.25)

30.94% (

-1.25)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.27% (

-1.28)

55.72% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.69% (

-0.76)

88.31% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 77.65%

Juventude 7.22%

Draw 15.11%

Flamengo	Draw	Juventude
2-0 @ 14.56% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.09) 6-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 77.65%	1-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.42% Total : 15.11%	0-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.17% Total : 7.22%