Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 69.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 10.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.67%) and 3-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.