Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Aug 3, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)

Corinthians
0 - 2
Flamengo

(Flamengo win 3-0 on aggregate)

Cantillo (35')

FT(HT: 0-1)

De Arrascaeta (37'), Barbosa (51')
Maia (12'), Rodinei (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Corinthians and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

Last Six:

Last Game: Flamengo 4-1 Atletico GO
Sunday, July 31 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Athletico Paranaense	20	5	34
5	Flamengo	20	11	33
6	Internacional	20	10	33

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Flamengo
30.1% ( 0.02)	26.16% ( -0.02)	43.74% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.98% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.71% (

0.1)

52.29% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.01% (

0.09)

73.99% (

-0.09)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.19% (

0.06)

31.81% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.76% (

0.07)

68.24% (

-0.07)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.23% (

0.05)

23.77% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.07% (

0.07)

57.93% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 30.1%

Flamengo 43.73%

Draw 26.16%

Corinthians	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.1%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 43.73%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Flamengo

Corinthians

16.3%

Draw

20.4%

Flamengo

63.3%

Head to Head

Jul 10, 2022 8pm

Corinthians

1-0

Flamengo

Rodinei (52' og.)
Ramos (35'), Giovane (81')
Gustavo (36')

Bruno (16'), Gomes (75'), Pedro (90+3'), Barbosa (90+7')

Nov 18, 2021 12.30am

Flamengo

1-0

Corinthians

Henrique (90+4')
Gabriel (40')

Pereira (23'), Victor (40')

Aug 1, 2021 8pm

Corinthians

1-3

Flamengo

Vitinho (89')
Roni (42')

Ribeiro (7'), Henrique (40'), Henrique (45')
De Arrascaeta (70')

Feb 14, 2021 7pm

Flamengo

2-1

Corinthians

Arao (10'), Barbosa (55')
Luis (83')

Natel (20')
Santos (29'), Ramiro (37'), Fagner (41'), Gil (54'), Roni (90+5')

Oct 18, 2020 8pm

Corinthians

1-5

Flamengo

Gil (64')
Xavier (41'), Camacho (45'), Otero (48'), Vieira (90+2')

Ribeiro (32'), Vitinho (52'), Bernardo de Souza (58'), Henrique (71'), Diego (86')
Bernardo de Souza (42'), Henrique (45+1'), Maia (63'), Luis (77'), Gerson (90+2')

Form Guide

Corinthians 1-0 Botafogo

Atletico GO 2-0 Corinthians

Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Corinthians

Corinthians 3-1 Coritiba

Ceara 3-1 Corinthians

Santos 1-0 Corinthians

Flamengo 4-1 Atletico GO

Flamengo 0-0 Athletico PR

Avai 1-2 Flamengo

Flamengo 4-0 Juventude

Flamengo 2-0 Coritiba